Wednesday, March 7, 2012

Super Tuesday - Winners and Losers

It is becoming pretty obvious from the Super Tuesday results that Mitt Romney will be the Republican nominee for President; but it is coming at great cost.   Romney spent $12 million to win Ohio by 1%, beating out Rick Santorum, by using negative ads that are a real turn off to Independent and Tea Party Conservative voters.  Further, it is clear from exit interviews that Romney has not closed the deal with Social Conservatives, Evangelicals and Tea Party Voters.  

It may be that the only way to win those voters in the general election is to choose a Vice President candidate like Rick Santorum, or Governor Bob McDonnell of Virginia.   If Romney is just short of the 1144 Delegates needed to win the nomination, he may need to make a deal with Santorum to get there.   That could be ok.   Santorum knows his way around Washington and could be helpful to Romney when it comes time to cutting deals with members of Congress. 

The big loser on Super Tuesday was former Speaker of the House Newt Gingrich.  Though Gingrich won his home state of Georgia, which was expected, he won no place else and often came in third, or even fourth.   It is time for Newt Gingrich to pull out of the race, since he has absolutely no chance of winning the Republican nomination for President; nor will he be the VP candidate.  Gingrich has no campaign apparatus, which would allow him to win.  Though Gingrich is brilliant and has great ideas, he is just too undisciplined to win the Republican nomination, or win the Presidency.   It is time for Newt Gingrich to go back to writing books. 

Rick Santorum is now running for Vice President.   With Super Tuesday wins, he would have to win 62% of remaining Delegates to get the nomination.   Though it is possible, Santorum too does not have the money, or the campaign apparatus to go the long haul.  Only Mitt Romney is positioned to win both the nomination and the Presidency.   Gingrich needs to pull out now.   And, then both Santorum and Romney need to slug it out based on the merits, not more negative ads.  

It is time for both candidates; but Romney, in particular, to observe Reagan's 11th Commandant not to speak ill of another Republican candidate.   Though Romney is proving that he is tough enough to take on Obama, these ads are pushing Blue Collar Democrats and Independents, that will be needed to win the Presidency, away from the Republican Party.   And, riling up the base of the Republican Party may cause some to sit out the general election, which is a losing strategy.  Further,  these negative ads just give the left wing, lame stream media and Socialists fodder in their support of Obama.  Why give them media to use against us. 

If Romney and Santorum declare a truce, the good news is that given the choice of Socialist President Obama and any of the current Republican candidates, except Ron Paul, the base of the Republican Party will be energized to support our nominee.   Winning is about putting the Reagan coalition back together, Blue Collar Conservative Democrats, Independents and the base of the Republican Party, which is the winning combination. 

We have to make Obama a one term President and sweep both him and his Socialist pals, at all levels of government, out of office in 2012 and 2014.   We can do it.  We must do it to preserve our freedom, our nation and way of life for the sake of our children and grandchildren.   We must get passed the Republican primaries as soon as possible to identify our nominee for the fight in November.  It is time to rock and roll. 

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