Friday, February 11, 2011

Military Coup - Mubarak Gone - Now What

There has been a military coup in Egypt forcing President Hosni Mubarak to resign. This is really no surprise since the military has in fact ruled Egypt either directly, or indirectly since 1952. The people of Egypt are jubilant; but the question is why? It remains to be seen if their protests in the streets will result in real democracy in Egypt since there is no tradition of Western style democracy in the Middle East anywhere except for in Israel. While the protests in the streets make for good television, the likely outcome may not be good. Remember, we saw this same euphoric story in Iran when the Shah of Iran was deposed and Iran is an Islamic dictatorship today. There is at least a 50/50 chance that a dictatorship will arise once again in Egypt once the dust settles.

In the mean time, the military in Egypt is in control as all other elements of government, except the court system, have been eliminated. The real question is will elections in Egypt go forward next September on schedule, or will the military find some excuse to delay elections. Again, the likelihood is that elections will be delayed, which actually could be a good thing if the delay is used to write a new Constitution based on democratic principles. We shall see. Almost more important, is what will occur outside of Egypt as a result of this uprising.

First, Israel should plan for the worst and hope for the best. That means that Israel should assume that sooner or later they could have a hostile Egypt on their border. If it does not happen, terrific; but Israel should never base their foreign policy on the best case scenario. As it is now, Israel faces a hostile Lebanon and Syria on its border financed by Iran. If Jordon falls to Islamic fundamentalists, which is possible as a result of what has happened in Egypt, then Israel could find itself surrounded by hostile nations on all sides. The only response to that scenario must be a nuclear deterrent since Iran will have nuclear weapons some time soon and as long as Obama is President, Israel cannot count on the United States to guarantee its defense.

Other Arab countries in the US, ruled by dictators that are allies of the US, must be terrified by what has happened in Egypt. Obama quickly sold out Mubarak, which has demonstrated to them that they can't count on the US, or more particularly Obama. This could cause these regimes to become even more repressive to insure their survival, which is a double edged sword. Rather than become more democratic in the Western tradition, these Arab regimes are likely to become even more dictatorial. Why should we care? The answer is one word, OIL. While we would hope that all countries in the world were Jeffersonian democracies, the reality is that some times the United States is better off dealing with dictators subject to bribery, oh I mean foreign aide, to support our interests. The last thing we need are more Iran's controlling our oil supply, which could be a likely outcome if Middle East style democracy is allowed to prevail.

Finally, another outcome from the revolution in Egypt is likely to be a push for more government control over the Internet throughout the world. China already controls what happens on the Internet using about a million government employees to censor the Internet. The revolution in Egypt has proven the power of the Internet and Social Networking. One of the first things Hosni Mubarak attempted to do when the protests in the streets began was to shut down the Internet because it was used as the basis for organization of the protests. Mubarak only partially succeeded; but having seen this end result, governments now will seek a sure proof way to shut down the Internet when faced with a "national emergency". Socialist President Obama wants that power even now. WE THE PEOPLE must stand up and say HELL NO to Obama. Mr. President, keep your trigger finger off the Internet. It is covered by the First Amendment to the US Constitution governing freedom of speech.

Now if only protests in the US could force Obama to resign. Oh well, I guess we will have to be content with making Obama a one term President in 2012 through the electoral process. The Tea Party Movement is a second American Revolution. Our goal is to push back 98 years of Socialism that began with enactment of a Constitutional Amendment, by Socialist President Woodrow Wilson in 1913, allowing for a federal income tax to redistribute income.

We now must elect Conservatives in 2012 and 2014 to take back our nation that support free market capitalism, limited government, lower taxes and less regulation, a balanced budget, term limits, real education, energy and health care reform, a strong national defense, including securing our border and fighting Terrorism, the right to bear arms, the sanctity of life and family values that are the foundation of our nation. This is the platform supported by the majority of the American people and the only way to restore economic growth and job creation in our country. We must protest in the streets at the ballot box to sweep these Socialists out of office to bring back common sense to our nation.

Most important, we must elect Conservatives in 2012 and 2014, who will adhere to the Constitution, as written by our Founding Fathers, not as contrived by the left wing media, Socialists in the last 98 years, our current or former Presidents, Congresses, or the Courts. We must take back our country in 2012 and 2014. We can do it. We must do it to preserve our freedom, our nation and way of life for the sake of our children and grandchildren.

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